Search results for "Conditional bias"

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Conditional Bias Robust Estimation of the Total of Curve Data by Sampling in a Finite Population: An Illustration on Electricity Load Curves

2020

Abstract For marketing or power grid management purposes, many studies based on the analysis of total electricity consumption curves of groups of customers are now carried out by electricity companies. Aggregated totals or mean load curves are estimated using individual curves measured at fine time grid and collected according to some sampling design. Due to the skewness of the distribution of electricity consumptions, these samples often contain outlying curves which may have an important impact on the usual estimation procedures. We introduce several robust estimators of the total consumption curve which are not sensitive to such outlying curves. These estimators are based on the conditio…

FOS: Computer and information sciencesStatistics and ProbabilityPopulationWaveletsStatistics - Applications01 natural sciencesSurvey samplingMethodology (stat.ME)010104 statistics & probabilityKokic and bell methodConditional bias0502 economics and businessStatisticsApplications (stat.AP)Conditional bias0101 mathematics[MATH]Mathematics [math]educationStatistics - Methodology050205 econometrics MathematicsEstimationeducation.field_of_studyModified band depthbusiness.industryApplied Mathematics05 social sciencesSampling (statistics)Functional dataBootstrapElectricityStatistics Probability and Uncertaintybusinessasymptotic confidence bandsSocial Sciences (miscellaneous)Spherical principal component analysis
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Robust estimation of mean electricity consumption curves by sampling for small areas in presence of missing values

2017

In this thesis, we address the problem of robust estimation of mean or total electricity consumption curves by sampling in a finite population for the entire population and for small areas. We are also interested in estimating mean curves by sampling in presence of partially missing trajectories.Indeed, many studies carried out in the French electricity company EDF, for marketing or power grid management purposes, are based on the analysis of mean or total electricity consumption curves at a fine time scale, for different groups of clients sharing some common characteristics.Because of privacy issues and financial costs, it is not possible to measure the electricity consumption curve of eac…

Linear mixed modelsSmall area estimationMissing dataRegression treesEstimation sur petits domaines[MATH.MATH-GM] Mathematics [math]/General Mathematics [math.GM]Estimateurs à noyauModèles linéaires mixtesRandom forestsBiais conditionnelsFunctional dataSurvey sampling[MATH.MATH-GM]Mathematics [math]/General Mathematics [math.GM]RobustesseDonnées fonctionnellesPlus proches voisinsForêts aléatoiresConditional biasKernel estimatorsNearest neighboursSondageDonnées manquantesRobustnessArbres de régression
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